SAN JUAN CAPISTRANO MARKET REPORT · JULY 2026
San Juan Capistrano’s 3-Bedroom Market Had Just 2 Sales This Month — Here’s How to Read That
Detached 3-bedroom single-family homes, July 2026
A quick note before anything else: only 2 homes closed in this segment in July. With a sample that small, median and average are mathematically identical for every metric in this report — they’re both simply describing the same two transactions, not a broader market pattern. Treat the figures below as what happened to two specific homes, not as a reliable trend.
Even with that caveat, there’s still useful context here. Inventory remained essentially flat, the homes that did sell went for right around asking price, and price per square foot came in notably higher than June. Just don’t read too much into the percentage changes — with a base of one or two homes, small differences produce large-looking swings.
A Quiet Month for Both Listings and Closings
New listings dropped 55.6% to just 4, while active listings held flat at 11 (0% change). Pending sales also held steady at 3 (0% change), and closed sales fell to 2, down 33.3% from an already-low starting point. Months of supply eased to 2.7, down 18.2% — still a tight reading, though based on very little transaction volume.
NEW LISTINGS
4
-55.6% MoM
ACTIVE LISTINGS
11
0% MoM
PENDING SALES
3
0% MoM
CLOSED SALES
2
-33.3% MoM
DAYS ON MARKET
19
+111.1% MoM
MONTHS SUPPLY
2.7
-18.2% MoM
July 2026 activity snapshot for San Juan Capistrano 3BR detached SFH. With only 2 closings this month, this chart represents a very thin slice of activity.
The Two Homes That Sold Went Above Asking
Both closed sales this month sold above their most recent list price — 100.2% for both median and average — and 98.4% of original list price. Price per square foot came in at $1,071 across the board, up meaningfully from June. Median and average sale price both landed at $1,501,500.
Because there are only 2 transactions behind these numbers, we’d caution against using this month’s price-per-square-foot or sale price as a pricing benchmark on its own. Pull specific comparable sales for your property or target home instead, or reach out and I’ll help contextualize it against a wider data set.
What This Means for You
FOR BUYERS
Inventory in this segment is genuinely limited — only 11 active listings, and just 2 sales closed all month. When the right home does come up, be ready to move; both sales that closed went above asking price.
FOR SELLERS
With so few recent comparable sales, work closely with a specific, well-chosen comp set rather than relying on this month’s citywide averages. The homes that did sell performed well — a good sign for well-positioned listings, even with limited data.
CLIENT PERK
When you buy or sell with Vinter Luxe, you get optional access to my trusted supplier network for direct pricing and discounts on construction materials — kitchen remodels, bathroom upgrades, ADUs, full renovations, and major home makeovers. Available exclusively to my clients, by request, and it’s helped past clients save real money on post-close projects.
Curious About a Different Area or Property Type?
This report covers San Juan Capistrano’s 3-bedroom detached homes specifically, but I track this data across Dana Point, Laguna Niguel, San Clemente, Laguna Beach, and Irvine too — other bedroom counts and property types included. If you want the numbers for your specific neighborhood or segment, just reach out and I’ll walk you through it.
Catching up? This month’s series also covers San Clemente’s 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom+ segments, Dana Point’s 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom+ segments, Laguna Niguel’s 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom+ segments, Laguna Beach’s 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom+ segments, and Irvine’s 3-bedroom and 4-bedroom+ segments. Check out those reports on the blog for the fuller South Orange County picture.
Thinking About Your Next Move in San Juan Capistrano?
Let’s talk about what these numbers mean for your specific property or search.
Get In TouchWilliam Vinter · DRE# 01920780 · Vinter Luxe Real Estate
